DOI：10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00025

Farmer flexibility concerning future rotation planning is affected by the framing of climate predictions.

•  

  Abstract: Abstract Arable crops are typically grown in annual rotations. Diverse rotations can support ecosystem services, provide economic resilience and support adaptation to climate change. Our aim was to assess farmers' attitudes to planning and diversifying crop rotations, focusing on their responses in the face of contrasting climate viewpoints. We interviewed 75 farmers from four regions along a latitudinal gradient from the south of the UK to the south of France. We used a semi-structured questionnaire with face-to-face interviews and asked farmers to respond to two narrative viewpoints of climate change impacts: one viewpoint focused on opportunities, the other on constraints. We found in all four regions that farmers' use rotations, and the crops within rotations, to achieve their main objectives of financial stability and improved soil health. Most farmers (79-100% depending on region) said they had experienced climate change, and many (54-83%) had already implemented changes in their farming practices. We did not find a difference in these results based on latitude. However, farmers' self-reported outlook was mostly optimistic in southern UK and become progressively more pessimistic further south. Overall, most farmers predicted that they would diversify and lengthen rotations in response to climate change. However, when presented with a viewpoint of climate change impacts focusing on opportunities, more farmers were likely to diversify and lengthen, and fewer were likely to shorten rotations, compared to a viewpoint presenting constraints from these impacts. Crucially, here we show that the presentation of climate change affects the ways in which farmers predict how they will respond to climate change. Diversified rotations would align with multiple other economic and environmental benefits. Therefore, it is essential to consider the way in which climate change impacts are communicated, and the effect on farmers' behavior, when designing measures to support environmentally-sustainable adaptation to climate change.

  Key words: farmers; rotations; viewpoint; climate change impacts; support; constraint

  提交时间：2020-01-01

  版权声明：作者本人独立拥有该论文的版权，预印本系统仅拥有论文的永久保存权利。任何人未经允许不得重复使用。
• html

• 图表

• María‐Soledad Benítez, Patrick M. Ewing, Shannon L. Osborne, R. Michael Lehma. Rhizosphere microbial communities explain positive effects of diverse crop rotations on corn and soybean performance: microbiome explain benefits of diverse rotations.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00023

  Michelle A. North, James Franke, Birgitt Ouweneel, Christopher H. Triso. Global risk of heat stress to cattle under climate change.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00022

  Poorva Joshi, Neelesh Dahanukar, Shankar Bharade, Vijay Dethe, Smita Dethe, Neha Bhandare, Milind Watv. Where honesty and hard work is the only stable strategy: design, evolution and pilot implementation of a support cum reward game in developmental economics.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00007

  Todd S. Rosenstock, M. Mayzelle, Nictor Namoi, Peter Fantk. Climate impacts of natural farming: A cradle to gate comparison between conventional practice and Andhra Pradesh Community Natural Farming.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00013

  M. Abdullah Shaikh, Michalis Hadjikakou, Brett A. Brya. Patterns and trends in national-level consumption and production-based utilisation of the land-system change planetary boundary.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00002

  K. V. Daniel, Mark A. Bradford, Emma Fuller, Emily E. Oldfield, Stephen A. Woo. Soil organic matter effects on US maize production and crop insurance payouts under drought.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00018

  M. C. Onyema, Chukwudi C. Nwaigw. Urban agriculture: a timely game changer for urban residents in Nigeria.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00016

  Quentin Struelens, Diego Mina, Olivier Dangle. Combined effects of landscape composition and pesticide use on herbivore and pollinator functions in smallholder farms.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00017

  Karthik Muthineni, Akhil Yalagonda, Praveen Gorla, Tarun Pullur. Implementation of automated motor starter unit for smart farming in India.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00009

  Santosh Kalaun. Correlation and path coefficient analysis of seed yield and yield components of French bean ( Phaseolus vulgaris L.) genotypes in sub-tropical region.. 2020. doi: 10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00001

• 序号	提交日期	编号	操作
  1	2020-01-01	10.31220/agriRxiv.2020.00025V1	下载

• 公开评论  匿名评论  仅发给作者 提交评论